Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Foligno 52.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 55.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 74.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 61.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Ek
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ek
Foligno
Last 6: Ek 1-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Ek
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
53.4% (249)
-5.7%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
53.2% (154)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
40.6% (32)
+0.9%
On power play, Ek has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Ek
Foligno
Home
48.3% (801)
57.3% (225)
Away
51.1% (801)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Ek
Foligno
P1
50.2%
53.0%
P2
50.1%
51.8%
P3
49.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |