Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 50.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 66.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Ek
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Ek
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
48.7% (495)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
56.9% (65)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
43.8% (144)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Ek
Foligno
Home
49.2% (331)
49.6% (359)
Away
45.7% (536)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Ek
Foligno
P1
38.7%
46.7%
P2
52.9%
52.7%
P3
48.8%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |