Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Zacha 54.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 63.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 64.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 59.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Ek
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Ek
Zacha
Last 10: Ek 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
5
Ek
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
53.9% (787)
-6.2%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
63.2% (193)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
44.3% (88)
-2.8%
On even strength, Zacha has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Ek
Zacha
Home
48.3% (801)
56.7% (538)
Away
51.1% (801)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Ek
Zacha
P1
50.2%
52.6%
P2
50.1%
54.8%
P3
49.3%
56.8%
OT
40.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |