Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Zacha 51.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 58.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 57.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Ek
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ek
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Ek
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Ek
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
53.3% (646)
-6.1%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
53.0% (100)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
38.9% (72)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Ek
Zacha
Home
49.9% (693)
51.7% (410)
Away
47.2% (568)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Ek
Zacha
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
52.6%
48.9%
P3
46.5%
50.2%
OT
54.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |