Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Zacha 51.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 58.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 55.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 56.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Ek
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ek
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Ek
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Ek
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (671)
53.7% (497)
-6.0%
Power Play
54.9% (206)
54.8% (84)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (155)
37.5% (64)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Ek is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Ek shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Ek
Zacha
Home
50.3% (565)
51.0% (335)
Away
48.2% (467)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Ek
Zacha
P1
47.4%
60.0%
P2
54.3%
48.1%
P3
46.2%
48.8%
OT
51.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |