Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 66.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Ek
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Ek
Lafferty
Last 8: Ek 4-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
2
Ek
Lafferty
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Ek
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
52.2% (366)
-3.8%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
60.0% (15)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
46.2% (104)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Ek shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Ek
Lafferty
Home
50.1% (689)
53.1% (258)
Away
48.6% (697)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Ek
Lafferty
P1
49.5%
52.5%
P2
49.3%
49.7%
P3
48.9%
51.3%
OT
53.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |