Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Ek 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 52.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Ek
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
50.7% (144)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
50.0% (2)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
50.0% (10)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Ek shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Ek
Lafferty
Home
49.2% (331)
53.2% (62)
Away
45.7% (536)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Ek
Lafferty
P1
38.7%
53.3%
P2
52.9%
46.7%
P3
48.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%