Joel Eriksson Ek vs Sebastian Aho
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 72.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 58.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Ek
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ek
Aho
Last 7: Ek 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Ek
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Ek
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
54.5% (870)
-6.9%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
62.4% (266)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
37.1% (62)
-2.2%
On power play, Aho has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Ek
Aho
Home
49.2% (331)
53.9% (603)
Away
45.7% (536)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Ek
Aho
P1
38.7%
54.1%
P2
52.9%
55.0%
P3
48.8%
57.4%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |