Joel Eriksson Ek vs Sebastian Aho

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Ek 48.8% vs Aho 50.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor Ek leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 59.1%
Defensive zone Ek 60.9%
Neutral zone Aho 50.5%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Ek Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12 - 9 (21 meetings)
12
9
Ek Aho
Last 10: Ek 6-4 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
7
Ek Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
1
Ek Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
4
1
Ek Aho
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Ek
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
49.9% (851)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
53.5% (144)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
43.3% (60)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +4.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Ek
Aho
Home
49.9% (693)
53.2% (554)
Away
47.2% (568)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Ek
Aho
P1
46.2%
49.1%
P2
52.6%
50.8%
P3
46.5%
49.7%
OT
54.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%
46.0%
48.7%
Aho
42.0%
48.0%
50.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 19, 2025 3 19:41 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 3 19:31 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 3 09:21 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 3 06:14 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 2 19:20 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 2 18:56 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 2 18:51 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 2 18:42 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 2 14:03 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 2 10:58 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 2 04:03 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 1 19:53 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 1 14:16 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 19, 2025 1 14:10 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 1 00:29 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 19, 2025 1 00:23 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 6, 2025 2 08:27 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Nov 6, 2025 1 13:45 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 6, 2025 1 11:46 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek