Joel Eriksson Ek vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Ek wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Aho 50.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 66.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 57.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 59.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Ek
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Ek
Aho
Last 10: Ek 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
7
Ek
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
1
Ek
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
4
1
Ek
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (671)
50.5% (647)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.9% (206)
54.2% (131)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (155)
38.1% (42)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Ek is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Ek shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Ek
Aho
Home
50.3% (565)
53.9% (445)
Away
48.2% (467)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Ek
Aho
P1
47.4%
48.7%
P2
54.3%
51.4%
P3
46.2%
50.8%
OT
51.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |