Joel Eriksson Ek vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Aho 50.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 59.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 60.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Ek
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Ek
Aho
Last 10: Ek 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
7
Ek
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
1
Ek
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
4
1
Ek
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
49.9% (851)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
53.5% (144)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
43.3% (60)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Ek
Aho
Home
49.9% (693)
53.2% (554)
Away
47.2% (568)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Ek
Aho
P1
46.2%
49.1%
P2
52.6%
50.8%
P3
46.5%
49.7%
OT
54.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |