Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Farabee wins 29.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.4% vs Johansen 52.4% (-23.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Farabee 77.5%
Defensive zone
Farabee 70.0%
Neutral zone
Farabee 73.6%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Farabee
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Farabee
Johansen
Last 10: Farabee 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Farabee
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Farabee
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
27.5% (120)
49.4% (1,010)
-21.9%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
62.3% (236)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
67.2% (67)
-54.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Farabee is 29.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Farabee shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Farabee
Johansen
Home
28.1% (57)
54.7% (655)
Away
29.1% (86)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Farabee
Johansen
P1
34.0%
52.2%
P2
23.4%
50.7%
P3
28.6%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
30.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
28.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |