Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Farabee wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Farabee 75.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 64.4%
Neutral zone
Farabee 75.2%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Farabee
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Farabee
Johansen
Last 10: Farabee 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
1
0
Farabee
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Farabee
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Farabee
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
32.8% (311)
53.1% (11,017)
-20.3%
Power Play
46.4% (56)
56.2% (2,163)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
50.5% (978)
-18.5%
On even strength, Johansen has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Farabee is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Farabee shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Farabee
Johansen
Home
33.7% (178)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
35.5% (214)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Farabee
Johansen
P1
39.9%
53.2%
P2
32.8%
53.9%
P3
28.7%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
35.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
34.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |