Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Hayes 38.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Larsson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larsson
Hayes
Last 5: Larsson 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Larsson
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
37.1% (642)
+8.1%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
32.1% (28)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
0.0% (11)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Larsson
Hayes
Home
45.1% (153)
36.7% (354)
Away
43.1% (188)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Larsson
Hayes
P1
45.3%
33.6%
P2
41.4%
38.3%
P3
44.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
38.6%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |