Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 67.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Larsson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
42.7% (478)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
42.9% (98)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
45.2% (31)
-6.2%
On power play, Larsson has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Larsson
Hayes
Home
52.1% (167)
43.5% (232)
Away
42.4% (255)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Larsson
Hayes
P1
50.0%
40.1%
P2
46.7%
44.8%
P3
42.6%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%