Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Hayes 49.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 90.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 86.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Larsson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larsson
Hayes
Last 6: Larsson 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Larsson
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
50.5% (764)
+3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.3% (90)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
38.6% (127)
+1.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Larsson
Hayes
Home
51.2% (490)
49.0% (531)
Away
50.1% (503)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Larsson
Hayes
P1
50.6%
52.3%
P2
53.1%
45.8%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |