Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Turris 51.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 67.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 78.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 62.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Larsson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Larsson
Turris
Last 9: Larsson 3-6 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
Larsson
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Turris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Larsson
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
50.9% (801)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
54.4% (204)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
43.6% (39)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Larsson shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Larsson
Turris
Home
51.1% (356)
55.6% (482)
Away
51.1% (403)
47.7% (562)
By Period
Larsson
Turris
P1
54.6%
49.1%
P2
51.9%
51.6%
P3
46.7%
53.4%
OT
54.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |