Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Turris 52.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 61.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 50.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Larsson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larsson
Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Larsson
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
56.1% (41)
-9.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
55.6% (9)
+5.5%
On even strength, Turris has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Turris is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Larsson
Turris
Home
52.1% (167)
45.8% (24)
Away
42.4% (255)
65.4% (26)
By Period
Larsson
Turris
P1
50.0%
64.7%
P2
46.7%
64.7%
P3
42.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |