Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.3%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Turris 50.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 82.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Turris 56.5%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Larsson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
20
(43 meetings)
23
20
Larsson
Turris
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
4
11
Larsson
Turris
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
12
2
Larsson
Turris
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Larsson
Turris
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.2% (7,653)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
52.4% (1,312)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
48.6% (580)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Larsson
Turris
Home
51.2% (2,493)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Larsson
Turris
P1
51.6%
51.5%
P2
49.7%
50.8%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
52.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |