Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Thompson 51.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 65.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 55.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Larsson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Thompson
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Larsson
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
53.2% (380)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
50.0% (16)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
45.5% (55)
-3.6%
On power play, Larsson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Larsson shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thompson
Home
51.1% (356)
53.9% (243)
Away
51.1% (403)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Larsson
Thompson
P1
54.6%
46.9%
P2
51.9%
62.2%
P3
46.7%
47.5%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |