Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 72.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Larsson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Larsson
Thompson
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Larsson
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
8
5
Larsson
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
3
Larsson
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
54.8% (135)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
47.9% (1,381)
-4.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thompson
Home
51.2% (2,493)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Larsson
Thompson
P1
51.6%
53.2%
P2
49.7%
52.9%
P3
47.2%
52.8%
OT
52.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |