Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Thompson 54.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Larsson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larsson
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Larsson
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
55.5% (236)
-8.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
60.0% (5)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
56.5% (46)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thompson
Home
52.1% (167)
53.1% (128)
Away
42.4% (255)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Larsson
Thompson
P1
50.0%
59.0%
P2
46.7%
55.4%
P3
42.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |