Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Thompson 53.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 94.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 75.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Larsson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Larsson
Thompson
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larsson
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
54.5% (628)
-0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.4% (19)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
51.3% (113)
-11.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thompson
Home
51.2% (490)
55.6% (329)
Away
50.1% (503)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Larsson
Thompson
P1
50.6%
55.3%
P2
53.1%
48.1%
P3
48.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |