Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Thomas 44.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 50.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 87.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Larsson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Larsson
Thomas
Last 8: Larsson 6-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
42.5% (252)
+7.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
50.0% (2)
-8.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Larsson shoots left. Thomas is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thomas
Home
48.2% (272)
44.8% (125)
Away
49.0% (337)
40.6% (138)
By Period
Larsson
Thomas
P1
48.6%
43.2%
P2
56.1%
44.6%
P3
41.0%
40.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |