Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 65.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Larsson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larsson
Thomas
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
1
Larsson
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
51.1% (5,350)
-0.6%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.8% (921)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
49.9% (691)
-6.1%
On power play, Thomas has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thomas
Home
51.2% (2,493)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Larsson
Thomas
P1
51.6%
50.6%
P2
49.7%
52.9%
P3
47.2%
50.8%
OT
52.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |