Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Thomas 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 67.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Larsson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larsson
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
49.0% (910)
-2.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
53.5% (142)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
53.3% (75)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Larsson
Thomas
Home
52.1% (167)
47.3% (514)
Away
42.4% (255)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Larsson
Thomas
P1
50.0%
50.4%
P2
46.7%
47.5%
P3
42.6%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |