Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Steel 49.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 66.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 60.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 66.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Larsson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Steel
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Larsson
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
49.3% (383)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
59.1% (22)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
14.3% (7)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Larsson
Steel
Home
52.1% (167)
49.4% (180)
Away
42.4% (255)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Larsson
Steel
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
46.7%
43.8%
P3
42.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |