Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.2%). Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Steel 50.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 66.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Larsson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Larsson
Steel
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
Larsson
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Larsson
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.6% (2,876)
-0.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
62.6% (179)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
37.4% (254)
+6.4%
On power play, Steel has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Larsson
Steel
Home
51.2% (2,493)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Larsson
Steel
P1
51.6%
51.9%
P2
49.7%
49.5%
P3
47.2%
49.6%
OT
52.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |