Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Aho 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 84.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 94.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 61.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Larsson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Larsson
Aho
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Larsson
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
47.4% (953)
+6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.0% (174)
-58.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
41.6% (77)
-1.7%
On power play, Aho has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Larsson
Aho
Home
51.2% (490)
50.2% (609)
Away
50.1% (503)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Larsson
Aho
P1
50.6%
48.7%
P2
53.1%
50.2%
P3
48.3%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |