Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Aho 51.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 91.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Larsson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larsson
Aho
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Larsson
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
0
Larsson
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.1% (6,619)
+0.4%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
58.9% (1,310)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
46.3% (464)
-2.5%
On power play, Aho has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Larsson
Aho
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Larsson
Aho
P1
51.6%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
52.0%
P3
47.2%
50.7%
OT
52.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |