Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 91.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 58.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 77.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Larsson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Larsson
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
51.6% (819)
-4.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
58.4% (173)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
46.3% (67)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Larsson
Aho
Home
52.1% (167)
53.9% (568)
Away
42.4% (255)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Larsson
Aho
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
46.7%
51.2%
P3
42.6%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |