Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.4%). Look for Beecher on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 53.8% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 81.9%
Defensive zone
Beecher 71.8%
Neutral zone
Beecher 53.2%
Result
John Beecher favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Beecher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beecher
Kastelic
Last 5: Beecher 3-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
2
Beecher
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (388)
53.4% (337)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (4)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (110)
75.0% (8)
-25.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Beecher is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Beecher shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Beecher
Kastelic
Home
51.5% (196)
56.2% (162)
Away
56.6% (304)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Beecher
Kastelic
P1
58.6%
58.2%
P2
49.0%
58.8%
P3
55.9%
45.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
54.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | John Beecher |