Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.9% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 79.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 61.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 55.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Beecher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beecher
Kastelic
Last 5: Beecher 3-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
2
Beecher
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (978)
57.0% (1,613)
-3.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
80.0% (25)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (218)
53.6% (274)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Beecher is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (513).
Beecher shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Beecher
Kastelic
Home
51.9% (551)
58.9% (895)
Away
52.1% (656)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Beecher
Kastelic
P1
53.7%
58.5%
P2
48.1%
56.9%
P3
54.3%
55.3%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | John Beecher |