Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 46.4% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.2%
Defensive zone
Beecher 70.5%
Neutral zone
Beecher 54.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Beecher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Beecher
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Beecher
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (132)
55.4% (826)
-9.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.9% (221)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
50.4% (129)
-9.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Beecher is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Beecher shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Beecher
O'Reilly
Home
47.6% (82)
55.8% (579)
Away
41.0% (83)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Beecher
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
57.7%
P2
34.8%
54.8%
P3
55.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
44.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |