Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 89.2%
Neutral zone
Beecher 61.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Beecher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Beecher
O'Reilly
Last 7: Beecher 3-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Beecher
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
0
Beecher
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (978)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.0%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.8% (3,445)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (218)
51.4% (2,811)
-5.5%
On power play, Beecher has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Beecher shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Beecher
O'Reilly
Home
51.9% (551)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.1% (656)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Beecher
O'Reilly
P1
53.7%
55.6%
P2
48.1%
57.0%
P3
54.3%
55.1%
OT
33.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |