Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 91.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 76.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Result
John Beecher favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Beecher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Beecher
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
56.2% (983)
-3.4%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
55.5% (254)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
52.0% (102)
-8.6%
On power play, Beecher has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Beecher shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Beecher
O'Reilly
Home
53.5% (273)
56.2% (697)
Away
50.6% (269)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Beecher
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
54.5%
P2
52.3%
55.5%
P3
52.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | John Beecher |