Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Poehling 50.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 60.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 59.4%
Neutral zone
Beecher 53.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Beecher
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beecher
Poehling
Last 5: Beecher 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
2
1
Beecher
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Beecher
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
52.6% (622)
+0.2%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
58.3% (12)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
39.8% (103)
+3.6%
On power play, Beecher has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Beecher shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Beecher
Poehling
Home
53.5% (273)
53.2% (393)
Away
50.6% (269)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Beecher
Poehling
P1
51.1%
50.9%
P2
52.3%
56.2%
P3
52.6%
46.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | John Beecher |