Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.9% vs Poehling 48.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 69.5%
Defensive zone
Beecher 76.7%
Neutral zone
Beecher 54.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Beecher
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Beecher
Poehling
Last 7: Beecher 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
1
Beecher
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Beecher
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (978)
49.4% (2,726)
+3.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
51.6% (93)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (218)
41.6% (623)
+4.3%
On power play, Beecher has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Beecher shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Beecher
Poehling
Home
51.9% (551)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
52.1% (656)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Beecher
Poehling
P1
53.7%
50.9%
P2
48.1%
47.0%
P3
54.3%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
53.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | John Beecher |