Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 53.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 65.9%
Defensive zone
Beecher 55.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 54.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Beecher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Beecher
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Beecher
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (388)
53.9% (521)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.1% (35)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (110)
51.5% (229)
-2.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beecher is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Beecher shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Beecher
Carrick
Home
51.5% (196)
52.7% (408)
Away
56.6% (304)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Beecher
Carrick
P1
58.6%
51.4%
P2
49.0%
56.6%
P3
55.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
54.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |