Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Carrick 53.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beecher 61.8%
Defensive zone
Beecher 68.2%
Neutral zone
Beecher 66.6%
Result
John Beecher favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Beecher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Beecher
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Beecher
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Beecher
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
53.8% (654)
-1.0%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
0.0% (2)
+87.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
63.9% (36)
-20.5%
On power play, Beecher has a +87.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beecher is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Beecher shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Beecher
Carrick
Home
53.5% (273)
50.0% (328)
Away
50.6% (269)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Beecher
Carrick
P1
51.1%
56.7%
P2
52.3%
51.1%
P3
52.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |