Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Kozak 47.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kozak 69.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 76.4%
Neutral zone
Beecher 52.6%
Result
John Beecher favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Beecher
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Beecher
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Beecher
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
46.0% (137)
+6.8%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
66.7% (3)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
40.0% (5)
+3.4%
On power play, Beecher has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Beecher shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Beecher
Kozak
Home
53.5% (273)
51.2% (84)
Away
50.6% (269)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Beecher
Kozak
P1
51.1%
57.1%
P2
52.3%
34.7%
P3
52.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |