Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.9% vs Kozak 48.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kozak 69.4%
Defensive zone
Beecher 74.4%
Neutral zone
Beecher 51.0%
Result
John Beecher favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Beecher
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Beecher
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Beecher
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beecher
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (978)
48.3% (431)
+4.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
62.5% (8)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (218)
48.9% (45)
-3.0%
On power play, Beecher has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Beecher shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Beecher
Kozak
Home
51.9% (551)
47.6% (229)
Away
52.1% (656)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Beecher
Kozak
P1
53.7%
54.4%
P2
48.1%
45.7%
P3
54.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |