Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 81.2%
Defensive zone
Beecher 89.1%
Neutral zone
Beecher 56.6%
Result
John Beecher favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Beecher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beecher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (978)
48.4% (4,954)
+4.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
57.4% (376)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (218)
39.9% (554)
+6.0%
On power play, Beecher has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Beecher shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Beecher
Gourde
Home
51.9% (551)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
52.1% (656)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Beecher
Gourde
P1
53.7%
49.9%
P2
48.1%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | John Beecher |