Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 69.6%
Defensive zone
Beecher 75.8%
Neutral zone
Beecher 58.3%
Result
John Beecher favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Beecher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beecher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
51.2% (469)
+1.6%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
42.9% (21)
+44.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
37.5% (48)
+5.9%
On power play, Beecher has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Beecher shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Beecher
Gourde
Home
53.5% (273)
47.8% (301)
Away
50.6% (269)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Beecher
Gourde
P1
51.1%
47.3%
P2
52.3%
53.4%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | John Beecher |