Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 52.0% vs Gourde 48.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 81.5%
Defensive zone
Beecher 89.8%
Neutral zone
Beecher 60.0%
Result
John Beecher favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Beecher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beecher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (926)
48.5% (4,763)
+4.7%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
57.5% (367)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
39.9% (534)
+6.5%
On power play, Beecher has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Beecher is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Beecher shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Beecher
Gourde
Home
51.7% (530)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
52.7% (615)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Beecher
Gourde
P1
53.9%
50.4%
P2
48.8%
47.2%
P3
53.9%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
48.0%▲
44.0%
52.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | John Beecher |