Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 29-13 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 92.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 78.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Lizotte
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
29
(42 meetings)
13
29
Lizotte
Tavares
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
16
Lizotte
Tavares
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
7
Lizotte
Tavares
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
6
Lizotte
Tavares
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
54.0% (15,885)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
56.5% (4,221)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
50.7% (612)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Tavares
Home
49.8% (1,780)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
Lizotte
Tavares
P1
48.2%
55.1%
P2
52.8%
54.1%
P3
50.7%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |