Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 77.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 70.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Tierney
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tierney
Tavares
Last 10: Tierney 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Tierney
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Tierney
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
60.9% (1,043)
-10.5%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
60.4% (278)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.6% (21)
-10.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Tierney
Tavares
Home
53.3% (289)
63.5% (684)
Away
45.5% (242)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Tierney
Tavares
P1
50.9%
60.3%
P2
46.7%
60.4%
P3
52.1%
60.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |