Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Tavares 59.8% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 75.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Rodrigues
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Rodrigues
Tavares
Last 9: Rodrigues 6-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
2
Rodrigues
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Rodrigues
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
60.9% (1,043)
-13.7%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
60.4% (278)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
47.6% (21)
-5.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Tavares
Home
49.8% (215)
63.5% (684)
Away
44.4% (171)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Rodrigues
Tavares
P1
44.2%
60.3%
P2
53.5%
60.4%
P3
44.6%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |