Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Tavares 53.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 80.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 70.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Last 9: Kuznetsov 2-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Kuznetsov
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
54.0% (1,077)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
54.5% (275)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.0% (18)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Home
49.8% (592)
56.8% (655)
Away
45.5% (545)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Tavares
P1
49.0%
54.1%
P2
49.3%
53.9%
P3
45.3%
54.3%
OT
40.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |