Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 39.7% vs Tavares 54.2% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 81.0%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 87.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 86.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Last 10: Kuznetsov 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Kuznetsov
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Kuznetsov
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (960)
53.0% (1,201)
-14.0%
Power Play
37.8% (45)
61.5% (262)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
53.8% (65)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Home
40.3% (533)
57.5% (762)
Away
36.9% (490)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Tavares
P1
37.8%
54.5%
P2
41.5%
53.2%
P3
36.4%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
31.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |