Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.1% vs Tavares 54.9% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 61.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 84.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Last 6: Kuznetsov 4-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (747)
54.8% (861)
-11.3%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
57.5% (226)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
51.7% (29)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kuznetsov is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Home
43.7% (414)
58.1% (559)
Away
42.9% (389)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Tavares
P1
43.7%
57.6%
P2
44.1%
55.5%
P3
42.1%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |