Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 86.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Last 7: Kuznetsov 5-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kuznetsov
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
5
0
Kuznetsov
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kuznetsov
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
57.5% (914)
-9.8%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
60.5% (309)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
59.1% (22)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Tavares
Home
45.9% (534)
61.0% (661)
Away
49.2% (535)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Tavares
P1
44.8%
58.6%
P2
52.1%
57.8%
P3
44.5%
58.4%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |