Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Tavares 52.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Carter
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carter
Tavares
Last 7: Carter 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Carter
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Carter
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
52.1% (992)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
53.7% (294)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
50.0% (22)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Tavares is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Carter
Tavares
Home
55.0% (291)
51.7% (679)
Away
54.5% (314)
53.4% (640)
By Period
Carter
Tavares
P1
57.2%
52.2%
P2
46.6%
49.3%
P3
58.0%
56.3%
OT
77.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |